Data-driven analysis of gold, Bitcoin, and the macro forces shaping markets, by Prof. Antoun Toubia, PhD.
The honest state of the bill in mid 2026, the three knots that will not untie, why I am certain it waits until next year, and how the delay feeds a more bearish market and a season of bull traps.
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The honest founder's account of leaving crypto mining to own utility scale solar in the Republic of Georgia, and what it truly means for the ABTC token.
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What Swedcoin (SWED) is, the Swedish Trust it fuels, and an honest look at the utility token on Tron.
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The ETF fast track winners, the mature blockchain commodities, the stablecoins, and the Section 604 safe harbor that makes DeFi platforms and DeFi tokens the biggest beneficiaries of all. A companion slide deck is included.
Read the analysis →A calm, protective walkthrough: choosing a reputable exchange, locking down your account, buying without pressure, moving to self-custody, and spotting the scams before they find you.
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Geopolitics and the Hormuz oil shock, the Warsh Fed, Bitcoin ETF outflows now net negative for 2026, and the CLARITY Act. A scenario map with my real odds of 40,000, roughly one chance in seven.
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The next Fed chairman holds more than thirty crypto positions, from Solana, Optimism and Blast to Compound, dYdX, the Lightning Network and Polymarket. A reading of the full ledger, and what it signals for the future of money.
Read the analysis →They named it Clarity. A deep reading of H.R. 3633: the yield ban that shields old banks, the developer safe harbor with a hole in the hull, six month freezes without a judge, mandatory surveillance, and the maturity Catch-22 that exiles new networks.
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Why a July hike is off the table, and why the real risk of higher rates has moved to September, near 75 percent, and October, driven by the energy shock in the Strait of Hormuz and a hawkish new chair.
Read the analysis →How the Republic of Georgia engineered a world class jurisdiction for virtual assets: the VASP law, the Estonian tax model, tokenized land on Hedera, the Digital Lari and GEL⚯, and what it all means for capital.
Read the analysis →The Fed and liquidity backdrop, the MA200 weekly trap, and two scenarios: if BTC reclaims 64,200 then ETH 1,900, SOL 90, XRP 1.30, LINK 8.80; if it fails, the road to the cost basis band.
Read the report →What futures are, how 5x and 10x really work with worked examples, cross versus isolated margin, the risks, and why they are considered haram. A masterclass for beginners.
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Live prices for gold, silver, Bitcoin and the major cryptocurrencies as July 2026 begins, by Prof. Antoun Toubia, PhD.
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Gold, silver, copper, Bitcoin and the major altcoins in 2026 and 2027: levels, timing, and why China’s paper-gold clampdown and Hong Kong’s new gold exchange matter.
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Dr. Antoun Toubia